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General polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).

Probability 78.0%
Volume: $11,263,359.06 January 26, 2026
General polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 24 at 5:30PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Probability 100.0%
Volume: $3,585,401.48 January 26, 2026
General polymarket

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Probability 0.1%
Volume: $23,229,310.43 January 26, 2026
General polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 25 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rams". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Probability 100.0%
Volume: $2,859,969.34 January 26, 2026
General polymarket

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probability 47.9%
Volume: $9,039,221.00 January 26, 2026
General polymarket

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 25 at 6:30PM ET: If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Probability 100.0%
Volume: $13,597,731.42 January 26, 2026
Probability 0.0%
Volume: $154.32 January 27, 2026
Probability 0.0%
Volume: $0.00 January 27, 2026
Probability 36.3%
Volume: $32.47 January 27, 2026
Probability 54.8%
Volume: $10.00 January 27, 2026
Probability 46.6%
Volume: $30.00 January 27, 2026
General kalshi

If Morgan St. and Norfolk St. collectively score over 138.5 total points in the Morgan St. at Norfolk St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probability 0.0%
Volume: $0.00 January 26, 2026
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