cmkun4cy60003zcrp0kc1ooop January 1, 2025

Artificial Intelligence Development

AI breakthroughs, AGI timelines, and industry transformations.

General manifold

Will Anthropic release an image generation model in 2026?

Probability 46.7%

Vol: $736.00 January 27, 2026

General manifold

Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?

Probability 36.2%

Vol: $116.00 January 27, 2026

General kalshi

Will Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos win the Saraiva Dos Santos vs Torres : Qualification Round 1 match?

If Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos wins the Saraiva Dos Santos vs Torres professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Concepcion Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probability 0.0%

Vol: $0.00 January 26, 2026

General kalshi

Will Juan Bautista Torres win the Saraiva Dos Santos vs Torres : Qualification Round 1 match?

If Juan Bautista Torres wins the Saraiva Dos Santos vs Torres professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Concepcion Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probability 0.0%

Vol: $0.00 January 26, 2026

General manifold

Will I get banned for using my newly created $100 Claude Max subscription on ClawdBot by February 15th?

Probability 21.5%

Vol: $14,943.04 January 26, 2026

General manifold

Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?

Probability 69.5%

Vol: $570.82 January 26, 2026